So you called it Media Freedom...

I am not sure about "FREE" "MEDIA" but those who work in Media as the holly Quran state, I believe are those who bought this life at the cost of their next life.. The Media today is act with no responsibility. They do whatever they want, hiding behind those two heavenly words called "Media Freedom".

In my mind the media's role is significant in a society like ours. It can play the role of development of collective understandings, new concepts, social awareness and the momentous decisions needed for the growth of our society. However the fact remains that the media today knowingly and willingly report falsehoods for commercial reasons, controversy makes them richer.

It is common these days to see Medias report the same incident in many different ways to prove their pre-meditated ideas.

Recentlt we saw how Media act in an unbelievably selfish manner too. The stories given below have ample evidence to this irresponsibility that the Sri Lankan media has shown ..

The picture below evident how media behave, when Lasantha Wickramatunga was rushing to the Kalubowilla hospital after an unidentified gunman shot and injured him. The brutally injured reporter was obviously in a bad shape and he should have been allowed to be taken in to the hospital without the nurses and doctors having to scream at mostly media people who wanted a picture of a person fighting to stay alive.

It got worst as Minister of Posts and Telecommunications, Mahinda Wijesekara carrying to the hospital after being air lifted to Colombo for surgery.

It is reported that not just at the outside of the hospital but even inside the operation theater there were battling to get a photo of that injured minister who was fighting with the death. You can clearly see how hard it was for doctor and other medical officers to control the crowd.

We all know that most media personals are just uneducated idiotic and foolish carders, but still how would one bargain a headline photo of their new paper with a life of an individual who is fighting for his/ her last breath.

The images below speaks for all… (These were taken at the recent suicide bomber attack at Matara, Akurassa)











killing is one but this is something else.. So, borthers, just help me to understand...

They called it incredible India

Yesterday, 27th of November 2008, a group of terrorist launched an attack in city of Mumbai, challenging the strength of mighty Indian militant. It was almost two days passed by but still Indian Army is struggling to take control over the scene. The terrorist are still attacking and have already achieved their goals.

The immaturity shown by the Indian defense is highly questionable. That raises many doubts about their readiness for a sudden terrorist attacks of this nature. However India had his long wind habit of pressurize/ advice Sri Lanka about how to deal with terror.

This is a simple comparison that I have done in between Indian Army against a terrorist group and Sri Lankan Army against the most ruthless terrorist group.

You will have the Indian army in the left side while Sri Lankan Army is in the right side..

India	Vs	Sri Lanka
	<-->
Peeping vs Aiming

	<-->
Waiting vs Exploring/ Chasing

	<-->
Standing/ Relaxing vs Expecting/ Vigilent

	<-->
Defending vs Attacking

	<-->
Searching vs Petroling

	<-->
Hiding/ Aiming vs Aiming/ Attacking

	<-->
Looking vs Finding

	<-->
Women Soldier

	<-->
Commando

	<-->
Hiding vs Attacking

I am by no mean expecting you to come to any conclusions by looking at this.. However Sri Lanka will not hesitate to provide military aids if India is willing to ask for it..

Gun down TAF with their "Low Flying Aircrafts"

Strong Sri Lankan Air Force

In early 80s an American war veteran wrote about how to protect American Sky from low flying Russian aircraft such MI-24 and Cruise Missiles. Today we are facing a similar threat from TAF.

Remember... realization that a problem exists is the only way we can ever reach a solution. Understanding the problem is the key to the formulation of a good solution. Our present air defense system lacks the ability to detect and engage extremely low- flying (I guess the actual segment of this air-space is between the ground and 100 feet above) attack planes that are currently in used by LTTE. The improvement of LTTE’s air wing has created a leak in our air defense umbrella. As per it stands today we have a threat that requires immediate attentions. We were attack in multiple occasions now. However it is unreasonable and also unrealistic to expect SLAF alone to prevent such future threats from TAF without assisting them by doing significant improvements to their current air defense setup.

We know that our radar coverage is insufficient to provide timely warning and also the existing air defense weapons (we have a range of weapons) are lacking the accuracy, depth and capabilities. As a result of this the ZLINs have evolved to be a serious threat to the ongoing war against terror, to our country, and in general to the whole region. According to the way I see it, this need a “quick fix” as well as a long term solution (with an array of progressive interim solutions).

In my field of expertise (I am not a defense expert) there's been debate about the impact of open source approaches on security. The open source exposes the source code of a software system to everyone, hence both the attackers and defenders get access to it, as per my view point the end result is better security than a close code system. If you apply the same concept to military defense, I thought it would be ideal to have the problem discussed in public to indentify the main defense framework against ZLIN (Zlin-143, which is the aircraft used by TAF). That I hope will produce a good start to a realistic end solution.


The ZLIN or TAF has open up a whole new context to this war. I can remember once Sri Lankan media (foolish, opportunist and greedy) were shouting saying that the final war will be fought on the sea with LTTE. The same was heard from LTTE spoke person too. But what has happened today, the LTTE naval wing has been almost neutralized by our SLN (Sri Lanka Navy). We worked toward what was shown but did not notice the hidden plan. I think sea-based-war was LTTE’s plan A. So then what is their plan B, which no one bothered to find? Even today, I am not sure how many of you have recognized that a war on air has already begun. In that context, LTTE is having the upper hand.

We all need to start analyzing this ponderous issue thoroughly. It has to be through a combined effects of technological and tactical knowhow (we need to combine all forces here), available weaponry (we need to combine all weaponries here), and the desire (which we all have), that we can find an acceptable solution under which we can operate (that mean, be cost effective).

As I have already mentioned, keep the picture in your mind that this flight starts at the ground and rises only enough to avoid impact with low obstacles. It also can use ground obstacles such as high rising buildings, land diversity (such as Mountains Rivers etc) to its own advantage too. Now visualize all these happening in a dark night. Having these in your mind, think that you are deployed on the ground with an anti-aircraft gun to shoot down this aircraft. So how feasible would that be, with a one-shot opportunity to gun this target down. It is not that easy right? Having that in mind let’s now try to find some solutions to this problem more closely.

According to my understanding the first and most important is to accurately identify, where the TAF platforms (airport) poised. As per the media, I am utterly confused, and sometimes it is even said that last attack was carried out by a plane airborne from South of India. In this regards, I heavily favor Long Rangers (LRRP units) to trace down the location of these ZLIN. We need to form a new special unit for this task. We need to train them with the help of our ally countries such as Russia. Today the LTTE activities are limited to killinochchi, which is about 625 square kilometers area. It is just 25 Km wide land area. That is where TAF keep their planes, and that is where we need our LRRP units to focus.

Long Rangers - SLA LRRP Units

Given the money we spent over this tiny aircraft, if we are willing to spend few more dollars to bribe couple of Tamil civilians, who would dare to risk their life for money. We may start receiving some accurate information about the ground location of these planes as well.

Above two, along with increasing the aggressiveness of ground operations (if possible) are the cheapest and also the quickest solutions that we have right now. I know ground operations have its own goals but as the low flying zlin become the primary threat, they all need to be re-adjusted to support the mission against zlin. No matter what other solution we find, above three have to be the mandatory.

The next step of our analysis will be to look at present air defense systems and the problems created by the existence of the evolving low-altitude threat. Let's get started with a discussion of the capabilities of zlin-143 (TAF). The Z-143 is a light aircraft, famous for pilot training. It is easy to manure and can fly at night or (in) low visibility conditions. However the most important but ignored factor here is that it can take a pay load of 1000kg (2200lbs). But have we seen them carrying 1000 KG of explosive in any of the recent attacks? What we have seen is, it only carrying four bombs. So it seems to have a fair bit of unused space to carry more weapons. Now the million dollars question is, was it just the tip of the iceberg? Think about couple of modified zlin-143s storming to Colombo with 12.7mm four-barrel, chin-mounted, rotary gun; four 32-round packs of 57mm or four 20-round packs of 8Omm unguided rockets; and four AT-2 Swatter antitank, guided missiles, four bombs together with decoy flares (or radar jammers) for self-protection (it is like a Mi-24, yes I know it is bit of a work to get a zlin-143 modified like this). What do you think the outcome of it would be? If we have not accurately read the strength of our enemy yet, we must improve our military intelligent wing and find answers to these sprawling questions before it is too late.


If we opted to attack this plane on the air, then we at least need to satisfy the first principle of air defense, early warnings. But the existing infrastructure that we have is incapable of giving it. That is with the obvious fact that LTTE always manure their plane just 100 feet above the ground level.

So then the common problem that we have to deal with is the detection. Today, we simply can't see low-altitude targets with our current equipments. In order to employ our weapons against this enemy, we must first be able to detect their presence. A realistic detection range of an air target at 100 feet below (which is what zlin-143 is flying) is very short and that again depending on the amount of ground clutter present around the radar base. However, let’s assume that we deployed/ configured radar systems to detect air born sources at 100 feet. That will require a set of strategically positioned radar units to track the position of the plane continuously. All these need to happen in a timely manner so that a fast moving attacker like F-7G (with Max Speed ~ 2,175 km/h) can chase down the ZLIN before it reaches its goal. If we are able to detect early and continuously trace its route then we can also deploy a Mi-24 too. In order make this a real we indeed need certain upgrades to the Mig21/ F-7g radar system to effectively detect low flying aircraft while avoiding ground clutters (radar system with Low Altitude Navigation Targeting Infrared for Night). However there is a big cost associate with that.

Again, if we employ our fighter jets for an on-air-attack, that will effectively have us shut down the anti air craft defense system to avoid "confusion" and minimize friendly firing in the overhead airspace at night. In addition to this given the current condition of F-7, it may require continuous assistance from the ground radar units to guide its way to find this low flying aircraft, which mean we may have to deploy many ground radar units to increase our detect-ability. On the other hand when flying low, an F-7 can suck dust, birds and even dead trees damaging its engine. That solution will be costlier and may incur long term additional cost to secure assets.

So there has to have a solution to improve our ability to detect these airborne targets. In this regards we may have to consider a option of some kind of a Lightweight Early Warning Radar Web (let’s called it “Security-Web” hereafter) which can effectively cover the whole island. This newly proposed Security-Web has to be a man-portable, and will have that human touch to make it more accurate. It will be highly mobile, but positioned to effectively cover the whole Island. As per my view point a solution of this nature may answer to some of the needs in our quest of finding a solution to this problem. Think about a cheap GPS panic device that most soldiers can carry. The device is configured to send two signals. One is to a centralized monitoring center to mark its position, and the other signal is to trigger all other devices to an alert mode. In the recent incident the ground soldiers of the FDL noticed these planes well over before it reaches Colombo. If we have enough units deployed to effectively cover the Island. Then the ones with this device can trigger signals immediately after they detect the airplane. As the signals reached the main control center, it will reveal its original position of which the plane last detected (via Global Positioning) on the map of Sri Lanka. As the Security-Web (let’s assume that each device is deployed at 1 km apart) is activated, the soldiers (or whoever the barer will be) will have their eyes on the sky looking for the plane and to effectively track it down. These signals will draw the moving path of this air craft. As this is having that human touch which most systems do not have, the accuracy will be higher. A simple mathematical formula can process the input data and adjust them to get pin point accuracy at the end. This will give accurate location coordinate/ moving path for an F-7 (radar range 30km) or a MI 24(radar rage 10 km), to gun down this enemy in timely manner. However in such an encounter the slower speed and low altitude of the zlin-143 is an advantage to TAF as it forces the fixed-wing (F-7) to constantly concentrate on ground avoidance. So as I said before I iterate and reiterate that my best choice against fixed-wing ZLIN is a Mi-24 helicopters (once we tracked the route we can deploy about 10 helicopters). In addition to this, we can improve our ground attack capabilities too, that is by mean of giving more training to the soldiers. In the end, if we go for a solution like this, the money we spend over a framework (infrastructure) like this will very well be paid back later as there will be many other businesses (related to GPS) that we can run on top of a framework like this in future.

However, it is equally import to realize that new ideas won't become reality until for quite a sometime, so till that we need more and more quick fixes.

In addition to the ones noted above a less expensive alternative include tethered balloons with good look-down radar and/or infra-red and electronic detection devices.

We need to take immediate decisions to determine the weaponries and detection equipments that are required to regain control of our low-altitude air space. I envision three major equipment requirements as necessary to defeat the threat. They are:

1. A high quality anti-aircraft gun
2. An "air-superiority" helicopter
3. A better performing low-altitude missile

Colombo Blackout - AA gun at work

Unfortunately the money we spent here will be an utter waist if LTTE is having a Plan C to back their currently active Plan B as well. In that sense our intelligent eye has more work left to do. Finally whatever systems or combinations of systems we choose, the most critical standards to be met should be the durability and cost.

Reference: Military Library

TAF vs SLAF - A Realistic Analysis

Once again, LTTE jubilate their foreign living funders (so called Diasporas) with an array of air raids done to Mannar and Colombo. In this attempt, they first did a destructive (? not sure) attack to Mannar military base to get the military eye focused on to Mannar, and then they sneak their way to the main target at Colombo. That sounds like a good plan.

According to the media information, two bombs have fallen to Thalladi, Mannar where our Army base is located and then those two LTTE aircrafts were headed toward President House while bombing Kelanathissa power plant on their way. This drama triggered the Colombo air defense system, which minimized the possible damages. However both of these LTTE aircrafts were managed to sail their way back safelyto marked their 11th victorious air raid on our sky (Yes, it is a shame). This incident raised lots of questions and was an eye opener for public to question the accountability of our Air Marshal WDRMJ Goonetileke’s exclusive interview given below...

Q: You are confident that the LTTE air capability is no longer a threat to the SLAF?
A: Yes we can say that we can deal with them effectively. Last time they came and dropped bombs in Weli Oya. That was the safest location they could reach and drop bombs and return.

What is this Z-143 and who is TAF and SLAF

The Z-143 is a light aircraft, famous for pilot training. Its great flight characteristics and additional instruments make the ZLIN easy to fly at night or (in) low visibility conditions. It is reported that Tamil Tiger Air Force (TAF) is having 3 or 4 modified versions of this aircrafts (They have purchased them during the peace time with the help of either Norwegian “piece” makers or some NGOs). Today TAF has become the first terrorist outfit in the world to have an air force associate with them. In the field of general aviation, this aircraft is incompetent even competing with a much simpler and lighter aircrafts such as Cessna or Piper. However the Sri Lankan Air Force (SLAF), a much stronger rival, is struggling in big time to protect their air space against this enemy today.

The ZLIN is an amazingly low grade flying machine (with Max. Speed ~ 267 km/h and Endurance ~ 5 hours and 10 minutes and Range with max fuel ~1000km). The TAF is using it to their maximum advantage while SLAF is struggling to fight it with much more superior modern state of art technologies, weapons and aircrafts. They have aircraft such as F-7Gs (with Max. Speed ~ 2,175 km/h), Mi-24 (with Max. Speed ~ 335 km/h), Kefir and MIG 21-27. It is said that Mi 24 has recently been upgraded with modern Israeli FLIR and electronic warfare systems and radar, with fully functional helmet mounted target tracking systems, and AAMs as well. So with all these it is very interesting to analyze and see “why we cannot” and “how we can improve” on counter attacking these so called low flying tin-cans.

What limitations SLAF is having today

Systematic – It is said that SALF needed to follow a lengthy/ time consuming approval process followed by a series of checkup before taking off an aircraft. This may not only delay the mission start but also earns time for TAF to go back and disappear themselves into the north jungles. The approval processes may have its reasons and I don’t have any questions having it for all general missions too. But the mission related to TAF is an exceptional one. Therefore that need some special adjustments and creative planning to improve our effectiveness against this enemy.

Leadership – It is said that media can make a patriot out of an enemy or wise versa. However if the incompetency of the SLAF leader is what putting everybody at risk today, then this will be our last chance to correct it. Because in the next time, LTTE will make sure to do it right and the result of it may even be the end of this WAR.

Equipment – The main weapons we have for air to air combat are F-7 (Chinese version of Mig 21) and the upgraded MI 24.

The F-7 have a very basic radar system (the range is relatively shorter ~ 30 km) which makes it nearly impossible to find and attack a low flying aircraft at night. It just has only the “close air-to-air agile combat” ability. It does not have various other advance options to be effective in an Air-to-Air combat (simply it can attack another plane right in front of it). So to me, F-7 is not a effective weapon against ZLIN. It has to have some luck (or some extra-ordinary ability), for you to find / hit / destroy a low flying zlin in a dark night uisng an F-7.

The MI-24 is relatively a better (radar coverage is ~ 10 km). However we may need to have at least 10-15 Mi 24 helicopters to increase the probability of finding the enemy in a random search. The way LTTE operate ZLIN will challenge the Mi-24 radar system as it may not detect a low flying air craft at a distance. But once engaged, a MI 24 has a better chance of destroying a ZLIN, with it advance weapons, low flying ability and slow speed, than a F-7.

Analysis of the current situation?

If the government of Sri Lanka or our military hand is looking to buy more expensive weapons / advance aircraft to sail over this challenging enemy. I bet we will end up spending all our money yet LTTE will keep outsmarting us. We spent enough money over this already and none of those counter measures took, worked but became white elephants. SLAF needs to understand that it is not about weapons but about smartness what matters here. I have no doubt that ZLIN is a very creative and innovative selection from TAF side. The LTTE is keep on effectively outsmarting SLAF over and over with their "kurumbatti machine" (name is as per our mad, uneducated media). But SLAF is still not getting it, that is the problem (for me).

So buying new euipment will encourage the enemy to be more advanced next time. It will be easier to beat him in the current context, by smartly closing and openning loop holes in the current system, than in a whole new context. Today, SLAF is trying to change the pillow cover to cure thier eye ache (or whatever).

Right now there is a high demand to install a 3d radar system to fight against this tiny enemy. I think we needs at least 4 radars (there are some which can trace up to 90 km) to cover up the whole island. I am not sure how costly they are, or how messy their radar images can be, but to me they look very expensive (unnecessarily). In the recent incident the ground soldiers of the FDL noticed these planes well over before it reaches Colombo, so then we have detected the planes. Then, why we need a much more expensive radar system, is it just to trace the planes? Again what if LTTE may have fixed Radar Jammer already? Again what guarantee we have to say that LTTE can't destroy the radar units via a ground attack? Let’s assume that we have the radar system in place, but still a radar cannot gun down a plane? Can it? It is like having the Plan-B, without the Plan-A.

From the other hand, it can be the world's most expensive and sophisticated radar system. We can have radars also mounted along the costal line (range is ~3km? or limited). But to effectively track a low flying aircraft with a radar system is not practical. It is given that the earth’s sphere shape and the high land diversity of Sri Lanka (rivers, mountains etc).

I know that all tall building in Colombo is having cheap anti aircraft guns mounted now. But they seem to be capable of effectively “missing” the target all the time. So anti aircraft guns (we have) are not a very good option to fight with ZLIN either. I hate to say this, this ENEMY IS A SMART ONE and if you are to beat him, WE HAVE TO OUTSMART HIM. It is a chess game, no matter how many times you change the board, if you are not smart enough, then you will ended up losing the game. In this case buying more equipment is like changing the board.

I think it requires a combine effort and a effective utilization of current resources to bring down this tiny master. I am not a military expert but these are my two cents..

• -If they plan well, outsmart them with superior plans
• -If we cannot break into their intelligent secrets, break into them by outsmarting them.
• -If our LRRP cannot penetrate into Kilinochchi, penetrate into it by outsmarting them.
• -If they manage to hide their aircrafts, reveal them by outsmarting them.
• -If they manage to sneak their way to Colombo, outsmart them by catching them.
• -If they have radar jammers to find their way, outsmart them by blocking their ways.
• -If you cannot bribe Tamils, outsmart them by bribing them

It is only by outsmarting our enemy that we can win here and not by buying new weapons or equipments. If you choose the second, then we can delay the next attack but won't be able to prevent it.

In my mind our first goal has to be to locate the ZLIN base. We don’t have to wait till they attack again to do that? Today the LTTE activities are limited to killinochchi, which is a 625 square kilometers area. It is just 25 Km wide land area. It cannot be that hard, given the things we did before (SLAF look at SLA). Unfortunately we are not focusing on doing that. We always try to spend more money over defending us against ZLIN but do little over offending TAF.

Enough is enough and this is the time to stand tall ..

Long rangers owe the future

.....Today, as LTTE is using their famous civilian shields against the advancing troops, SL Army is correctly utilizing their deep penetrating units to break through that shield. Right now, LRRP is operated on reconnaissance and combat patrols, to obtain highly vital intelligence, or to perform highly dangerous raids and ambushes. These brave soldiers penetrate through rebel civilians and live in jungles for days and nights collecting intelligent news. Some time they fade themselves out among civilian, looking for their next target. Their success on far too dangerous operations and the extraordinary kill ratios has given that vital support the SL Army is desperately needed at this juncture.  To me, the success of this war is heavily depends on the mastery we shown on utilizing our deep penetrating units. How well we use them, the sooner the end of this war will be......

Perhaps, for the first time in the modern world, a guerilla war is beginning to end. A terrorist outfit who fought for many decades is taking their last breath. The experts who argued negatively about the war have changed now. Today they say “The LTTE can be defeated militarily”.  However now these experts are searching desperately for something to earn their next living. These war/ political experts have found a new mantra now, they say “These Tamil terrorists can be defeated militarily, but it remains unclear how the government would pacify and control the large Tamil-speaking areas in the north”. But according to the way it is progessing now, you never knows when they have to stop chanting this mantra and have to look for the next new mantra.

We know that we can defeat this terrorist outfit now. However, that could in my opinion is equal to killing every Tamil in the north and east as well. One thing is clear. We cannot isolate the terrorist from the civilians. That also means wiping out the terrorist equals to wiping out the Tamils. So after all the new mantra that all these experts use to chant these days is having some meaning too.. So, where are we now, how we can win this war then?

I think, we have the answer with our deep penitrating units. At this dawn Sri Lankan army is patrolling around the inner skirt of Kilinochchi, the strong holds town based in far end corner of north. We fought this war many times before but failed until this time. For the first time in the history of this war SL Army has introduced a new unit called LRRP so called long rangers. They are a lonely unit consist of four to six silent men, equipped with modern day state of art technologies. This unit has mastered the covert operations against the rebels in the north. They can successfully penetrate deep into the jungles and assassinate key LTTE figures, hiding in those concrete bunkers.

According to my humble view point, the long rangers owe the future of this war. We will have to deploy more and more LRRP units in the near future. 

Today, as LTTE is using their famous civilian shields against the advancing troops, SL Army is correctly utilizing their deep penetrating units to break through that shield. Right now, LRRP is operated on reconnaissance and combat patrols, to obtain highly vital intelligence, or to perform highly dangerous raids and ambushes. These brave soldiers penetrate through rebel civilians and live in jungles for days and nights collecting intelligent news. Some time they fade themselves out among civilian, looking for their next target. Their success on far too dangerous operations and the extraordinary kill ratios has given that vital support the SL Army is desperately needed at this juncture.  To me, the success of this war is heavily depends on the mastery we shown on utilizing our deep penetrating units. How well we use them, the sooner the end of this war will be..

Finally, as long as Sri Lanka gets rain, we will have forests, as long as we have forests, terrorist will hide, as long as the terrorists are hiding, the terrorist will attack, as long as the terrorists are attacking, the war will not be over, as long as a war, the LRRP is needed. So even after the war, long ranger will rule the north and east jungles. You will hear about them living among civilians collecting intelligent news. It will be a regular scenery to watchful eyes, to see units of four silent men scrolling out/ in through the dark dry zone forests in the future. 

So as I told you before, very soon these political experts and military experts have to look for their next mantra. In the same time LRRP units will have more and more works to do, at least for next ten years, no matter when the war will be over.

On our way to defeat LTTE?

North battle front, as it stand today

After many decades of war, now we started seeing a light, a light that can ultimately lead us to settle (believe me, I hate to say that is a political settlement) this ongoing problem in the north. Currently, Sri Lankan Army is waiting at the edge of Killinochchi town, waiting to fire their first shot. Everyone believe that the moral of the SL soldiers are at its peak, where as the moral of the LTTE is at its lowest. But still the hardcore enemy units yet to face the army with their maximum power.

Captured areas

Yes, troops are doing well in the battle fields, and ironically everything seems to be falling in our way, favoring us. The moral of the tropes and the gun power, all right. But we shouldn't forget that the serpent is still alive. Today, we are sitting on a volcano, which mean a one big blast can turn everything upside down. I know it is merely impossible to LTTE to stop the current offensive operation through a military fight-back even with their strongest units. However, they can delay it for couple of months. Apart from that, we need to remember that it is a war fare with a guerrilla unit. It is said that, when you are fighting with guerrillas, it does not matter how many military wins you gain, if you lost once, then you are considered a defeated, and guerrillas become the winners. This alone is enough for us to understand the importance of not losing the grip till the very last end.

But I am getting frustrate as I started to see that we are releasing the grip little by little while trying to celebrate a victory, which we haven't gain yet. If you look at the three items that I have listed below, you will notice, that still there are things that are not in our control. These are some important but vastly neglected (at least to my view point) areas that Sri Lankan military must look into...

1. Are we really killing terrorist as much as we exploit our gun power?
   
2. Where is the LTTE suicide attackers squad, there were 4000 at the start of this war, did we destroyed all 4000?
   
3. We win the military war, but can we still get defeated in the political war?

The effectiveness of our gun power, are we really killing terrorist as much as we exploit our gun power?

It is obvious that LTTE defense strategy has two goals

1. They are building new defenses to delay army from marching towards their strong holds
   
2. They are trying to get as much carders escaped from the offensive attacks while making us waste billions on military spending.

used to escape from Army Attacks

We know that LTTE is using this new strategy of digging the ground deep, making zigzagging trench lines, running from one place to another, it is obvious that they create these not only to use as a wall against the advancing troops (specially against Armoured Corps) but also to use as a escaping option, even under heavy firing with minimum damages to their carders. However on the other hand SL Army units such as DPU (Deep Penitrating Unit) can use the same to their advantage too.

Anyway, if LTTE is not losing the man power as much as we think they are, it is going to be hard at the end for us to get that easy win. They will deploy all their men for a final fight, possibly with the added support of some chemical weapons, air force (I mean that hutu hutu planes) too. That can make our win, a not a win. But the good point is that as long as we have a long term plan (I am sure we have), which make us stand a step ahead of them, it will not stop us from winning this war. We will win this war, but they can cause delays to it. But in the other hand, more time we take to finish this war mean more money we spend over this, is that a strategy too? Can this war be a well calculated withdrawal plan from LTTE side. That mean LTTE withdraw, while army is attacking, until we finish our money in the government treasury. Because even if government can corner the LTTE, they can still hide themselves among civilians and escape.

In another aspect, if they are going to lose it at the end anyway, then why are they trying to delay our win? Is it an indication of a hidden agenda? I know it is not uncommon these days for a soldier to see LTTE carders fleeing. But why?? Are they really afraid of us??? or are they preserving their carders?? Let's take that as a point to think about little more...

East is fully cleared now

If you look at the numbers, it is not hard to realize that SL Army has expertise this war now. They are damaging the LTTE without much damage to their side. Still all units need to be at their peak till the very end for us to avoid a possible MAJOR, MAJOR disaster at the last part of this war, by a possible counter attack from the LTTE side.

How many of them still remain in the LTTE suicide attacker's squad, there were 4000 at the start of this war, did we destroyed all 4000?

This is one of the strongest points that LTTE has to their advantage. Right now we all know that they are not successful in launching attacks on civil areas in the southern part of Sri Lanka. In simple term, we don’t see bus bombs anymore, as counter attacks to offensive operation in the north. But is it really because that they don’t have that secret network (we know that army arrested all key player of this game) they used before or is it just one of their new strategy? What if they are waiting till a right moment to use their suicide squad in massive scales? What if they are preparing for a sudden major attack (TNA MPs?) if so, are we ready for that? The President is the most important, second is the army commander with Gotabaya/ Basil Rajapakse to follow up, these are the most import key figures that drive this force.

It is like a chess game, if you get the king, no matter what, this movement will turn in 180 degrees tomorrow and go in the complete opposite direction. We need to have our intelligent units look in to these area as well. The question is what plan the LTTE is having, with their suicide bomber squad..

We win it militarily, but can we still get defeated in the political war?

Army Commander addressing a key US Military Group

(SL Army is becoming the world's best unit for guerrilla war fare)

LTTE intelligent unit is surely not aiming toward gaining a military victory now. I think their main goal is to gain a political win, they have their diplomats deployed all around the world working hard, while most of our ambosaders sleeping in the day after parting at night (We lost the seat on the UN Human Rights Council). I know LTTE is secretly raising funds for US presidential candidate Barak Obama. As far as it stands today, Barak Obama has a very high possibility of winning this election too. But from our side the government's diplomats are too very strong. I can see they are laying their plans too. China, India, Russia, and Iran hopefully will stand in our side. But if US stand against us, there going to be some major problems in industries like IT and Garment. They are the ones who heavily depends on US market. So a possible trade band from US, can make tens of thousands of professionals thrown on to the road (it is too early for a such conclusion though). As far as the government diplomatic strategies are concern, I have a great faith on them, and I can see they are thinking too.. So it is going to be a chess game again. Let’s hope for the best.

Sri Lankan MPs Fighting in the Parliament

Now it is proving, that we can win the war no matter what and also let's assume that we can win the faith of the global communities as well but when it comes to getting all greedy Sri Lankan politicians to act together, that is where the real fight going to start. Unfortunately as it stands today it is going to be a fight in between Sinhalese vs. Sinhalese. Who is going to support which side in this war??

It is going to be an interesting future... But at the end if north settle down to a provincial council unit. It is no matter who comes to power in Eastern or North those two chief ministers are going to be the government most loyal ministers. That is given that weapon used by ltte would still hang around every corner of these two provinces..